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You bump into the Hungarian you worked with at Harvard. Or you're on honeymoon camping in a remote part of Ireland . . . and you and your new wife meet your Head of Department and his new wife walking the other way along an otherwise deserted beach. All of these have happened to Jack. Why do we find coincidences so striking? Because we expect random events to be evenly distributed so statistical clumps surprise us. We think that a 'typical' lottery draw is something like 5 14 27 36 39 45 but that 1 2 3 19 20 21 is far less likely. Actually these two sets of numbers have exactly the same probability: 1 in 13 983 816. A typical lottery draw often includes several numbers close together because sequences of six random numbers between 1 and 49 are more likely to be clumpy than not. How do we know this? Probability theorists tackle such questions using.
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